On regional finances and others

As discussion starts about Russia’s 2026 federal budget, it is worth taking a look at the state of regional finances and where they are trending as Russia is headed either towards a prolonged war or an uneasy peace. Apart from this, read some notes on internet outages, fertility figures, utilities and the municipal reform.

Continue reading
Posted in Dispatches | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

On Russia’s upcoming elections and why they matter

Russia will hold regular regional and local elections on September 12-14 . The “single day of voting” – admittedly, the name is a little confusing given that since 2020 elections in many regions have been held over two or three days – has, over the years, become the start of Russia’s fall political season: a time for governors to demonstrate that they are controlling their regions; for political managers to market their skills; and for decision-makers to make potentially unpopular announcements after the votes. It would be foolish to analyze these votes as “real” elections, but they are nonetheless important even under the circumstances of Russia’s hard authoritarianism.

Continue reading
Posted in Dispatches, Elections | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

On the “new elite” of war participants, AI in governance and others

How seriously should we take Putin’s promises of a “new elite” emerging from the participants of the war in Ukraine, based on the experiences of the past year? Will artificial intelligence solve the problems of regional and local governance in Russia, and what drives the use of AI in politics? Read below for some thoughts on this and an assortment of regional political developments from the past weeks.

Continue reading
Posted in Dispatches, Policies | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

On the death of a chinovnik

A quick recap of why the apparent suicide of transit minister Roman Starovoit is likely a watershed event in Russian politics.

Continue reading
Posted in Kremlinology, Shorts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

On the discontents of the municipal reform, arrest season in the regions, and others

How is the Kremlin’s recently adopted municipal reform playing out in the regions, especially given unexpected protests in the Krasnoyarsk Territory? Are the recent arrests of regional officials, among them several ministers and deputy ministers significant? When the Kremlin names a figure that it plans to spend on a long-overdue reform, what happens actually? I am trying to answer these questions and comment on some other assorted themes from the past month in Russian politics.

Continue reading
Posted in Dispatches, Policies | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

On the waste management reform, the salaries of governors, and others

I might disappoint some readers with the main topic of today’s dispatch, especially after such a long hiatus, but this has been a hobby horse of mine for some time, so buckle up. In today’s dispatch I am going to take a glance at Russia’s waste management reform, which was recently updated by the federal government, and explain what it tells us about policymaking constraints in wartime Russia and why this is important.

Continue reading
Posted in Dispatches, Policies | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

On the disaster in the Oval Office, industrial support measures and others

What are the implications of Trump and Vance bullying Zelenskyy in the Oval Office for the Kremlin and for Europe? How does the mobster mentality that Trump brings to international relations changes the Kremlin’s calculus regarding the war? Will the Russian federal government have to fund an increasing amount of sectoral crisis management programs? In this somewhat long-winded dispatch I am trying to answer these questions and comment on some other developments in Russia’s regions from the past weeks that did not make it into Bear Market Brief.

Continue reading
Posted in Dispatches, Policies | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment